INTRODUCTION TO THE
LOSING TRICK COUNT
(continued)
Let's take another look at the slam hand at the start of the
lesson, using just the Raw LTC Count:
|
You |
|
Dummy |
|
|
ª
K108643 |
2 losers |
ª AQ75 |
1 loser |
|
© 7 |
1 loser |
© 106 |
2 losers |
|
¨ 43 |
2 losers |
¨ AKJ62 |
1 loser |
|
§ A842 |
2 losers |
§ K9 |
1 loser |
|
|
7 losers |
|
5 losers |
Your losers 7 Add partner's losers
5 Total losers 12 Deduct from 24 = 12, the number of
tricks expected if spades are trumps (and the breaks are normal).
Your partnership should reach 6ª. A sensible auction would be:
You Partner
1¨
1
ª 4ª 4NT
5©
6
ª Pass
Note that there is nothing special or unusual about opener's
hand - no voids, no singletons, no freak fit. If anything, it is slightly light
for the jump to 4ª.
5.
COUNTING THE QUEEN AS A WINNER
It clearly cannot be correct to value a queen
as highly as an ace.
Obviously Q-7-3 is not nearly as powerful as A-7-3. Just as
obvious Q-7-3 is more valuable than 8-7-3, so that it is better than three
losers.
The queen should be counted at full value, a winner,
whenever it is supported by another honor. If the queen has only rags with it,
Q-9-8 or worse, count it as only half a trick, and thus as 2 ½ losers.
Therefore,
A-K-Q = no losers, A-Q-6 = 1 loser, K-Q-3 = 1 loser, Q-J-5
= 2 losers and Q-10-7 = 2 losers, BUT Q-8-3 = 2 ½
losers, Q-7-5-4
= 2 ½ losers Q-9-6-5-2 = 2 ½ losers, and so
on.
The value of "togetherness" for bridge honors is well known:
(a) Dummy: KQ6 (b) Dummy: K76 Declarer: 754 Declarer: Q54
In (a), you have a 50% chance of two tricks. In (b), the
chance for two tricks (lead low to one honor, duck on the way back) is a mere
1% unless the opponents kindly lead the ace for you.
(c) QJ6 (d) Q64 432 J32
With (c), you have a 75% chance of one trick (lead twice
towards dummy). In (d) the chance for a trick is a tick above 30% (unless they
lead the suit for you).
Example of counting losers involving the queen:
|
ª KQ7 |
1 loser |
ª Q652 |
2½ losers |
|
© AQ853 |
1 loser |
© QJ83 |
2 losers |
|
¨ Q72 |
2½ losers |
¨ A76 |
2 losers |
|
§ 73 |
2 losers |
§
Q4 |
2 losers* |
|
|
6½ losers |
|
8½ losers |
*Note that with a doubleton, any card below the A and
K is a loser. So that Q-x is two losers, not 1½
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